2012 January 31, 2012

In Burma, young activists are not hiding anymore

source release

Many of the political upheavals that rocked Burma in the past were the result of younger generations, often willing to invest despite the dangers. So at a time when the space opens up and tongues are loosened, the militants hiding anymore. (© AFP Soe Than Win)
Many of the political upheavals that rocked Burma in the past were the result of younger generations, often willing to invest despite the dangers. So at a time when the space opens up and tongues are loosened, the militants hiding plus.Au As the government, which succeeded a junta in March, confirms its commitment to openness and the fear of repression fades, young Burmese taste the pleasure of commitment. With even more fervor than approach the elections on April 1.

This is the case of Thuzar Lwin, 25, a member since 2007 of the National League for Democracy (NLD) of Aung San Suu Kyi. Like many others, she volunteers her time at the headquarters of the NLD, whose executives, nicknamed the "uncles", all have more than 80 years.

"I joined because I wanted to fight for the truth," said the graduate of Zoology updating membership lists with activists held recently amnestied.

"That's good, what's going on. We must continue on this path. "

In 1988, students in Rangoon had launched what was to become the largest uprising in the history of military rule. Repression had up to 3,000 dead and universities were placed under surveillance.

In 2007, the "saffron rebellion" was this time initiated by Buddhist monks. But activists in 1988 had not been praying to join them. And many are only recently out of prison.

But Min Ko Naing, 49, considered the greatest leader in 1988, found that his popularity had not suffered. He was greeted by a cheering crowd to its release in mid-January, and promised his followers to keep fighting.

In this context, the renewal of generations seems obvious. "We, the alumni of the movement of 1988, we are no longer young. So we try to work with the younger generation, "said Myo Nyunt, 46, a spokesman of the NLD Youth.

Many instinctively turn to the League, which spearheaded and winner of the Nobel Peace Prize is presented to the April elections, Sunday and mobilized tens of thousands of people on a trip to the coastal town Dawei (south).

But others seek adventure independently as Generation Wave, an underground movement formed after the revolt Safran and became known through music and poetry.

Bo Bo, a student of English, 23, left the university in 2008 by joining the movement for fear of reprisals.

"I wanted to do for my country," he says. In 2007, the military "attacked the monks peacefully protesting, I was really shocked and I was encouraged to get involved."

With his comrades, he now organizes conferences and campaigns. "We do not want to form a party," he said, while stating "try to work with certain political parties and make suggestions."

Prudent, he wants to wait a bit to see how the country will turn to "decide the direction" that might take.

Meanwhile, the April elections offer a new opportunity to make a political choice. The regime has promised they would be "free and fair" after the election of November 2010, marked by numerous protests and called a "masquerade" by the West.

"This is the second time I vote," gloats Yar Zar Phyo, 21, an engineering student, who did not expect as two years ago, when the election was only known that in 1990, after which the junta had denied his victory in the NLD.

"It changes more than ever right now," he enthuses. "Today, I say that anything is possible in my country."

Power is not even synonymous with fear. "They suspected us all the time. Anymore. Today we are free again. "


2012 January 30, 2012

Burma: the crowd cheered Aung San Suu Kyi in the countryside in the south

source release

After a first speech in the city of Dawei, many cars and motorcycles followed the procession which led from village to village, children in school uniforms cheering on his way, and an even larger crowd was waiting in the riding Aung Soe. (© AFP Soe Than Win)

Tens of thousands of people cheered Sunday Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi during a trip in the south of the country to support his party before the elections on April 1, seen as a test of the sincerity of the new reforms regime.

"If we're going in the right direction, many venues in our country. We are eager to enter, "said the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize itself legislative candidate for the first time in his career.

"You are our heart," proclaimed banners agitated by his supporters emblazoned with the logo of the hit National League for Democracy (NLD) T-shirts.

The locals were out in droves to see in the flesh the opposition leader released from house arrest in November 2010 and was on in the coastal region of Dawei his first campaign trip outside Rangoon.

"We asked several times (Aung San Suu Kyi) to come to campaign in our region (...) It did not come here for 23 years," said the AFP Aung Soe, NLD candidate that she came to support.

After a first speech in the city of Dawei, many cars and motorcycles followed the procession which led from village to village, children in school uniforms cheering on his way, and an even larger crowd was waiting in the riding Aung Soe.

Scenes unimaginable even a year ago, when the "Lady" from Rangoon hated by General Than Shwe, leader of the former junta now retired, was marginalized after spending most of the previous twenty years of private freedom.

But since the junta for nearly half a century dissolved itself in March 2011 and transferred its powers to a new "civilian" government, although controlled by former military.

This new team has stepped dramatic reforms, releasing hundreds of political prisoners and allowing the return of Suu Kyi at the heart of politics.

NLD dissolved in May 2010 to have decided to boycott the elections next November, and was allowed to re-register and present candidates for 48 seats compete in national and regional meetings on April 1.

These elections to fill vacancies appointed by elected ministers will not threaten the overwhelming majority of the party of power.

Still, "people will see if they are free and fair. There should be no vote buying or threats to get votes, "insisted Suu Kyi.

Conditions on which also emphasize the Western capitals. After the 2010 elections denounced by the West as a sham, how to run it will be key to Washington and Brussels to decide whether to lift the sanctions.

The NLD won a landslide victory in 1990 elections but the junta never recognized the results.

The move would also lead Sunday Suu Kyi at the scene of the controversial project to build an industrial complex and a deep-water port, which threatens some uncontrolled influx of dirty industries in violation of the rights of local populations .

Another sign of change in regime, the authorities are yet to cancel the construction of a coal plant on the site, citing "environmental problems".

Suu Kyi, who has made only rare visits outside Rangoon since her release has been difficult in the past trips.

In 2003, she and her team were attacked in an ambush apparently it orchestrated by the ruling junta, who had a hundred deaths in the NLD, four under the plan. The attack led to his house arrest for seven years.


2012 January 29, 2012

A Burmese in Davos

source: lemonde.fr

If proof were needed that Burma becomes a fréquentable country is this: for the first time, an official Burmese delegation was invited this year's World Economic Forum in Davos. And it came.

This is U Soe Thane , Minister of Industry, who directs. His message, delivered in English sometimes hesitant but always with a smile , is clear: Burma opens its arms to foreign investors. And they do not pray . "They rush, he assures us, amused, and not just in the Forum. There is not a free hotel room currently in Rangoon. " About hotels, tourism is also an area full of future Burma, confirms the Minister. At Davos, CEOs groups Starwood and Marriott have also expressed interest.

For host , Burma, including the new President Thein Sein says want out of fifty years of relentless dictatorship prepares a favorable foreign investment laws, including tax exemption for eight years for interested companies, renewable exemption if the investment is profitable for Burma, announced the Minister. At his side, the vice minister of railways, U Thaung Lwin , leader of one of the three newly created special economic zones, said that this legislation will be adopted "before the end of February."

THE SAME CONDITIONS FOR ALL

Japanese consultants were hired to "we make more attractive for investments in neighboring countries. " China, a strong presence in Burma, she will receive preferential treatment? "Anyone can ask to invest , meets U Soe Thane. conditions will be the same for all, and the process will be transparent. "

The country is growing at 6% of GDP in 2012 and would especially open to investment sectors "employing much labor, particularly agriculture." "But we also have two coasts, ports, fishing, gas, pipeline, and a young English-speaking population ... "That strangers make no mistake, however: if the Burmese government has decided to open the country is not under pressure from Western sanctions which will be gradually lifted. It is only, say the two ministers, "for the good of our people."

Aung San Suu Kyi has also been invited to Davos. In a video message, the Nobel Prize for Peace, which prepares for elections on April 1, said that if she could not come , "it is for reasons closely related to the theme of the Forum 'large transformations - develop new models. " We have not yet reached the point of great transformation, she said, but we have a rare and invaluable opportunity to achieve it. " For her, the fact that the Minister U Soe Thane is there reflected, moreover, "these positive changes."

Sylvie Kauffmann


2012 January 23, 2012

Burma: the European Union is beginning to ease its sanctions

The European Union agreed Monday to begin easing sanctions policy against Burma to welcome the reforms initiated by the government in power, told AFP a diplomatic source. (© AFP Soe Than Win)

The European Union agreed Monday to begin easing sanctions policy against Burma to welcome the reforms initiated by the government in power, told AFP a source diplomatique.Les ambassadors of the twenty seven bloc countries in Brussels have agreed to start in a "first step" to remove some visa bans striking members of the regime, but the lifting of sanctions is a gradual process that is conditioned "to the pursuit of positive acts Burmese authorities, "said a European diplomat.

The decision must still be formally approved by EU foreign ministers meeting in Brussels since Monday morning.

"There is a real sense of transition in that country," said arriving at the meeting the head of European diplomacy Catherine Ashton, announcing that it would soon make his first visit to Myanmar in the wake of foreign ministers British and French.

"I will visit Burma in coordination with (the opponent and Nobel Peace Prize) Aung San Suu Kyi, probably in April after the elections" in the country, she said.

British Foreign Minister William Hague has called for the EU to be able to make "the first relief restrictive measures on Burma" because "we should recognize progress."

His French counterpart Alain Juppe supported this view. "I was there recently, I am convinced that the democratization process is underway and I am pleased that the EU will engage in a gradual lifting of sanctions," he said.

An EU diplomat said the aim was "to send signs of encouragement."

In debates among Europeans about an easing of sanctions, some, especially the Scandinavian countries and the UK, have advocated a cautious, stressing the need to meet specific criteria on respect for freedom of expression or the release of political prisoners.

For Europeans, the by-elections scheduled for April 1 will be a test of the sincerity of the reforms. "The elections will be free and fair," said a diplomat.

Recently returned to the heart of politics, opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi on Wednesday launched his campaign to enter Parliament.

The EU has already announced in early January that it will open a representation in Burma.

In April 2011, it had slightly reduced its sanctions against Burma by suspending gels have and visa bans for a third of the government, including the chief diplomat.

The junta for nearly half a century dissolved itself and transferred its powers in March to a new "civilian" government, although controlled by former military. It recently announced the release of some 300 political prisoners, including leading dissidents.


2012 January 22, 2012

Burma: Investors on the lookout for a country under construction

source: cnn

Political reforms briskly by Burma sharpen the appetite of foreign investors attracted by a potential rich and untapped, but that will have to accommodate a complicated environment, marked by decades of military management.

Political reforms briskly by Burma sharpen the appetite of foreign investors attracted by a potential rich and untapped, but that will have to accommodate a complicated environment, marked by decades of military management. | Soe Than Win

Reform conducted briskly by Burma whet the appetite of foreign investors attracted by a potential rich and untapped, but that will have to accommodate a complicated environment, marked by decades of military.
As and when the increases the political, and the West evokes the gradual lifting of economic sanctions, the country of 60 million inhabitants opens to a market economy. Rich in oil, timber and minerals, supported by a very favorable climate for agriculture, Burma also has a huge tourism potential and will have to equip heavy infrastructure.

"The numbers are exploding, we no longer find a place in hotels in high season," comments a foreign businessman in the tourism and real estate.
The authorities have recently given to businessmen well underway in Rangoon "a list? Buildings they want to sell," he said. And the atmosphere is deregulation. "Licences which took weeks to get? S get in the day."
Only groups present before the introduction of sanctions in the late 90s, were able to stay. This is the case of the Total Group. When other companies will be allowed to join them, they will discover a country overwhelmed by half a century of military management.
Parliament has yet to vote on the first investment law. And the courts have no jurisdiction or independence.
The banking system has just recovered from a severe crisis in 2003. And the exchange rate on the black market is almost a hundred times more interesting than the official.
The parallel economy is flourishing, including cross-border trade and illegal migration of workers who repatriate their income as they can.
"The law is obsolete so people working on their own. They do not want to be illegally but they have no choice, "said Toe Naing Mann, son of the powerful president of the lower house, the former General Shwe Mann, who abandoned the business to help his father .
"The new government is trying to open and reduce the restrictions, controls, transaction costs, to create a favorable environment," says his side the researcher Winston Set Aung, co-founder of the Asia Development Research Institute Yangon.
But "foreign investors may well need to understand how the informal economy before it integrates the formal economy."
For very large operators, it will therefore probably have to wait a bit. Before leaving office in March 2011, the junta launched a vast program of privatization, including the port of Rangoon and service stations.
But Toe Naing Mann points out that the country lacks the infrastructure to make it viable fuel distribution. And exclude the hypothesis of the arrival of the global giants.
"Sometimes too we protect our national interests," he admits without admitting directly that businessmen linked to the junta had taken full advantage of privatization.
Japanese Trade Minister has provided to bring a delegation of business leaders and American businessmen prepare an exploratory visit.
But as Vietnam 90s, when the United States had lifted their embargo, it is primarily lawyers and consulting firms who will take storefront.
The oil and gas sector, mining and timber shall seek to license applications, as well as banking and tourism, prognostic Aekapol Chongvilaivan, Institute for Asian Studies Southeast Singapore.
But corruption, mismanagement and "imbalances in macroeconomic policy" remains problematic, he notes, regretting that "reforms in industrial and financial markets are discussed in inadequate infrastructure and uncertain political dismal business climate. "


2012 January 19, 2012

Burma: EU plans to start up its sanctions in February

source release

The European Union is considering whether to ease in February its sanctions against Burma and economic assistance to greet the reforms initiated by the regime, but the process is still under debate, it was learned Wednesday from diplomatic sources . (© AFP Frederic de la Mure)
The European Union is considering whether to ease in February its sanctions against Burma and economic assistance to greet the reforms initiated by the regime, but the process is still under debate, it was learned Wednesday from diplomatic sources . A visit to the head of European diplomacy, Catherine Ashton, to Naypyidaw, the new Burmese capital, is also being considered and could take place "soon" despite an agenda "very busy," he told AFP a spokesman Michael Mann.

"In light of recent developments in the country, we launched a comprehensive review of our policy in Burma," he added.

The topic should be discussed during a meeting of foreign ministers scheduled for Monday in Brussels. A decision on the lifting of some sanctions could follow "during February," according to sources.

A draft declaration opening the door to this possibility is under discussion for a meeting of EU foreign ministers scheduled for Monday in Brussels, they said.

The French and British ministers, Alain Juppe and William Hague want to offer Monday "gradually revise" the sanctions regime, with first steps "in the very short term," said Wednesday Bernard Valero, spokesman of the Quai d'Orsay .

MM. Hague and Juppe, who have both recently traveled to Burma, "also agreed that the EU must remain vigilant," he added.

An EU diplomat said the aim was "to send signs of encouragement" while recognizing that "there is some difference of opinion" between European countries.

Some of them, including France and Germany want to send a strong signal easing some sanctions soon.

Others, particularly the Scandinavian countries and the UK, called for greater caution, stressing the need to meet specific criteria on respect for freedom of expression and the release of political prisoners.

"The debates are about + when + and + how + to lift sanctions. There are different opinions on whether to lift sooner or later, "said a diplomat.

"He differences but we can not say that the EU is divided on Burma," insisted another official.

For Europeans, the by-elections scheduled for April 1 will be a test of the sincerity of the reforms. "The elections will be free and fair," said a diplomat.

Recently returned to the heart of politics, opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi on Wednesday launched his campaign to enter Parliament.

The EU has already announced in early January that it will open a representation in Burma.

In April 2011, it had slightly reduced its sanctions against Naypyidaw, suspending gels have and visa bans for a third of the government, including the chief diplomat.

The junta in power for nearly half a century has self-dissolved and transferred its powers in March to a new "civilian" government, although controlled by former military. It recently announced the release of some 300 political prisoners, including leading dissidents.


2012 January 18, 2012

Burma: Aung San Suu Kyi has applied to elections

source release

The Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi filed Wednesday his candidacy for parliamentary by-elections April 1, for the first time in his political career (© AFP Soe Than Win)
The Burmese opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi filed Wednesday his candidacy for parliamentary by-elections April 1, for the first time in his political career, found a photographer from AFP.'s Winner of the Nobel Peace Prize is presented to the National League for Democracy (NLD) in the constituency of Kawhmu near Rangoon, for this election regarded by the West as a test for the democratic ambitions of the new Burmese regime.

Suu Kyi was already locked in the 1990 elections, during which the NLD had humiliated the military regime by winning 392 of the 485 seats in competition. Results that the general had refused to honor.

And she was released from house arrest a week after the November 2010 elections, during which the Burmese were asked to describe for the first time in twenty years, national and regional meetings, including 25% of the seats are automatically reserved the active military.

The party specially created by the junta then in power had won a landslide victory, after suspicions of fraud and criticized campaign. An election denounced by the West as a sham.

But since the junta, in power for nearly half a century, dissolved itself and transferred in March its powers to a government says "civilian", although controlled by former military.

This new team led by President Thein Sein has increased in recent months the dramatic reforms, including the return to the heart of the political game of Suu Kyi, who spent most of the last twenty years of private freedom.

NLD party with which the democracy icon has spent his entire political career, which had been dissolved by the junta in May 2010 it announced its boycott of elections next November has been officially re-register.

And decided to present candidates in these elections to fill 48 seats in both houses of parliament and regional assemblies, seats vacated by elected officials have become ministers.

© 2012 AFP


2012 January 17, 2012

Burma: a "soft revolution" which raises questions

source: Marianne2

There are nearly a year, the Burmese junta, one of the worst dictatorships in the world in power for nearly half a century transferred his powers to a new civilian government, although controlled by former military. Led by President Thein Sein, the new has stepped dramatic reforms, in particular allowing the return to the heart of the political game of the opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, but also diplomats and foreign investors.



Aung San Suu Kyi (cc flikr Globalism Pictures)

Aung San Suu Kyi (cc flikr Globalism Pictures)
Release of political prisoners, legalized trade unions, lifting the censorship on newspapers, re-registration of the National League for Democracy, the political party of Aung San Suu Kyi, the organization of elections. Rarely has a country under the control of a military dictatorship for over 25 years has opened so swiftly. To the point of asking questions about the motivations of this spring in Rangoon called "historical process" by Alain Juppe during his visit to the country this weekend.

The images of the Arab Spring and the unyielding dictators before fleeing their country, for some, be caged and judged? The release of Aung San Suu Kyi, who appears as the first sign of an easing of the Burmese regime was made in November 2010, ie before the first beginnings of the Arab Spring invalidate this hypothesis.

It is more economic criterion that seems to be the origin of this conversion. The country, which is full of natural resources, was subject to economic sanctions for more than two decades and many generals were converted to the idea of ​​taking advantage of this windfall.


Many promises to keep ...

But rather a risky gamble paid off. "Transform" into a magic wand in a civilian government, the junta made a diplomatic faultless and communication policy. So much so that the United States announced the restoration of diplomatic relations with the country and sending an ambassador. And delegations of Japanese businessmen and American are already rushing into the country whose gas resources, oil, various minerals and strategic location between India, China and the rest of Southeast Asia attracts all lusts.

This new team has stepped dramatic reforms in recent months, in particular allowing the return to the heart of the politics of Aung San Suu Kyi. Convinced of the good faith of the new government, it announced that it will participate in the parliamentary elections in April, for the first time since 1990. His party, the National League for Democracy, had then won the election, but the junta annulled the result. State television announced that a total of 651 prisoners were granted amnesty under a new presidential pardon, without specifying how many are -368 political prisoners, according to information not intersected.

An opening that does not raise any questions about the objectives of the new government which some fear duplicity process.
Paris, Washington and Tokyo were particularly attentive to certain points: the continuation of the political dialogue, the actual release of all political prisoners and respect for the rights of ethnic minorities. A final aspect considered crucial after decades of armed struggle between Rangoon and a host of ethnic rebellions. Most of them have accepted the cease-fire, as the Karen,

"We must give full marks to the Burmese authorities, and this visit is one, but we tell them that we expect more", says a diplomatic source quoted by Le Figaro.

Open negotiations with ethnic minorities

In this regard, it is worth remembering that General Thein Sein, a former general and Prime Minister of the junta, was elected President of the Republic on 4 February 2011 after rigged elections considered by the opposition and the international community. Hence the suspicion of some observers to wonder whether Thein Sein is not as presentable "civil window" of the junta whose members are still in the government.

Considered one having been one of the pillars of the military junta, Thein Sein moderate property remains an enigma and its true capabilities of action are poorly understood, although the proliferation of acts of recent openings appear as guarantees and demonstration of its "goodwill." Some experts do not forget as long as Burma is still a country ruled by an authoritarian regime with close ties to Beijing and that the process of "perestroika" is fragile.

In addition to the release in November 2010 of the Nobel laureate Aung Saung Suu Kyi and the authorization was given to him to stand for parliamentary elections on April 1, the most surprising advanced, although less well known, is the ceasefire agreement signed on 12 January with the Karen ethnic group. The agreement was reached during talks between officials and Karen National Union (KNU) in the capital of Hpa-an, in eastern Karen State. Karen fighting for greater autonomy for more than 60 years. Christian and widely favored by the British during the years of colonial rule, the Karen rebelled against the repressive treatment of nationalist Burmese military, the same accused of genocide.

However, the context is more difficult in the Kachin state in the north, home to many mining and forestry resources. Last June, in the process of opening, the regime was singing an offensive against the Kachin Independence Army (KIA) and multiplied attacks against civilians, breaking a cease-fire of 17 years old. Renewed tensions concern for many NGOs that describe this conflict as a "hidden war in Burma." If the conflict continues, again things could move: President Thein Sein ordered the army not to attack minorities throughout the country and meetings between the Burmese government and Kachin representatives for peace talks s have planned Jan. 18 in the Chinese border town of Ruili.


2012 January 16, 2012

Burma: to turn the page of the dictatorship must unite

source: lenouvelsobs item: Frederic Debomy

The official newspaper of the regime, "New Light of Myanmar", stated: The year 2011 will mark the end of the long political reign of the Burmese army, the country began to "practice democracy" . In fact, significant changes have taken place in recent months and Aung San Suu Kyi, set the standard of the democratic movement, was allowed to participate in elections partial April.

Aung San Suu Kyi, Yangon, Myanmar, 17 November 2010 (P.NICHOLS / SIPA)

Aung San Suu Kyi, Yangon, Myanmar, 17 November 2010 (P.NICHOLS / SIPA)

The winner of the Nobel Peace Prize could even, as an advisor to the Burmese presidency be "called on the government" if she wished, provided to win elections. Aung San Suu Kyi wish she join the government or be a critical opposition in Parliament to change the constitution in 2008 to a more democratic legislative framework? We do not here.

The election of April, if carried out on a regular basis, give a further indication of the willingness of the regime to turn the page of the dictatorship. Whether Aung San Suu Kyi could eventually lead the country, it says not to be sure I want to. For now, she said to trust the President Thein Sein - but not at all a government that does not know all the members.

However, we must not lose sight of Aung San Suu Kyi herself stated long ago: we are still in that "early start" changes expected. The "Lady" lists the criteria for judging whether Burma is on the road to democracy: the release of all political prisoners ( the plan released Friday, January 13, 2012 several leading activists ), how elections will happen in April, an increase of freedom of the press, the efforts of the regime to allow the establishment of a genuine rule of law.

The most important point is finally an end to the conflicts between the Burmese army and armed groups from national minorities:

"So there will be no harmony between different ethnic groups, it will be difficult to establish a strong democracy."

It must be emphasized: despite political progress, the situation of human rights remains dramatic in Kachin State. It is therefore necessary that the French Foreign Minister Calls on the Burmese government to stop military offensives and allow better access for humanitarian actors in the region. The ongoing conflict in Kachin State has already caused the displacement of 50,000 people since June.

General Mutu Saipo, representative of the Karen National Union (KNU), Burma's rebel movement demanding more autonomy, sign a cease-fire, Hpa-an, Myanmar, 12 January 2012 (Soe Than WIN / AFP)

General Mutu Saipo, representative of the Karen National Union signed a cease-fire, Burma, 12 January 2012 (STWIN / AFP)

What conclusions can be drawn from this situation both characterized by political developments and a worsening of the situation of human rights in some parts of the country where minorities live? It is worrying that the order given by President Thein Sein's army to stop attacks in Kachin State has not been acted upon. Khin Zaw Win, former political prisoner, said the "New observer " that "today, the army is uncertain of his role. And locally, commanders act on their own, without waiting for an order of the hierarchy, or even in conflict with these orders "Aung San Suu Kyi asks.:

"What level of support changes do you find in the army? It is ultimately the most important point: how the military is ready to contribute to reform. "

If optimism is permissible in view of what has happened in recent months, no one can now say that President Thein Sein really head or it is precisely the power of cohesion Burmese on objectives. It would certainly be a mistake to refer to the only biography of the men now in power to try to guess the intentions of the regime. However, it is useful to keep in mind that these are for the most part, those who benefited from the power before the recent transformation of the military regime in a "civilian" regime: we can therefore find difficult to imagine that their beliefs and goals have changed completely.

Beyond their current agreement, how Thein Sein and Aung San Suu Kyi, they share the same objectives? The answer could be given to us by the coming of the "Lady" in Parliament, she will not harm to question the 2008 constitution guarantees the military a control policy or something she stumble, thereby limits the opening process committed by the dictatorship?

The contrast between political openness and noted the continued fighting in some areas may also revive the acute tendency of Burmese society in the division. A Karen officer has already found that "Suu Kyi talks with the government while the Kachin civilians flee the Burmese soldiers" leads minorities to question the attention the "Lady of Rangoon" their door. It is hoped that the recent statement of Aung San Suu Kyi on the situation in Kachin State will help to remove this misunderstanding.

The cease-fire that have signed the representatives of the Burmese regime with delegates from the Karen National Union (KNU) is also good news, which will appeasing the tension and misunderstanding. In like Aung San Suu Kyi By publicly demonstrating its confidence in President Thein Sein, Saw David Thaw the KNU held negotiators "honest and sincere" regime.

We must continue to observe the evolution of the situation rigorously avoiding both cling to analyzes that are no longer valid (type: the regime has not changed and will not change) and to rejoice too soon. Hopefully a maximum of unity among all those non-violent manner or army, have long opposed the dictatorship. At the margin, the movement of international support for democracy still have a role to play: helping to strengthen the unity of this multiform opposition to the dictatorship rather than contribute to its tendency to strengthen the division.


2012 January 14, 2012

Alain Juppe to meet the "perestroika Burmese"

source: lefigaro

Alain Juppe on Saturday in Rangoon, with the three opponents released yesterday.
Alain Juppe, Saturday in Rangoon, with the three opponents released on the eve Photo credits:. FREDERIC THE WALLS / AFP

The foreign minister arrived in Rangoon for an official two-day visit during which he will meet the face of the opposition, Aung San Suu Kyi.

Upon his arrival in Rangoon on Saturday, Alain Juppe met at the Embassy of France three political prisoners, including the 651qui are released from prison Friday. A wave of acclaimed releases, including France and the United States, as a sign "important" political opening initiated last year by the military in power since 1962. Among the released dissidents, the Minister of Foreign Affairs met with Min Ko Naing, a leader of the 88 Generation.

Ex-leader of a clandestine network of students, trade unions are banned then, this activist 49 years has played a leading role in the 1988 uprising for democracy that was suppressed by the junta. It has passed since most of his time behind bars, as Khun Htun Oo and Ko Ko Gyi. Through these three, Alain Juppe paid tribute to the courage and tenacity of activists rights, as we begin a process of Burma still uncertain reforms.

Outstretched hand of power

The highlight of the visit will be on Sunday, meeting with each one here called the "Lady", as discreetly as respect, Aung San Suu Kyi . In the morning, Alain Juppe will meet with her in her high défraichie house on the shores of Inya Lake in Rangoon. By late afternoon, at a reception, it will give him the insignia of Commander in the Order of the Legion of Honor.

The Burmese icon of the struggle for democracy after 15 years under house arrest and in prison, is determined to seize the outstretched hand of power . In November 2010, the Nobel Peace Prize has been released. In August, she met with the head of state, Thein Sein, a former general who took in March 2010 the head of a civilian government, although remaining under the watchful eye of the military. Dramatic reforms were announced as the relaxation of censorship and the creation of unions. In December, the National League for Democracy (NLD), the Ang San Suu Kyi's party, was allowed to participate in parliamentary by-elections on April 1. The elections will be a test of the sincerity of the new reformist government.

In Rangoon, Alain Juppe, the first head of French diplomacy to visit Burma since its independence in 1948, was preceded by little by Hillary Clinton , on December 1st, and William Hague, on January 5. The head of the U.S. State Department and the head of the Foreign Office encouraged reforms but found them necessary pursuit before the lifting of international sanctions on Burma. Alain Juppe should also stick to this line. "We must give full marks to the Burmese authorities, and this visit is one, but we tell them that we expect more", says a diplomatic source. The French bilateral aid will be increased. The European Union, it must decide by April 30 on sanctions against Burma.

In this perspective, Paris has his eye on the priorities that make figure red lines: the continuation of the political dialogue, the actual release of all political prisoners (their number is debated) and respect for the rights of ethnic minorities. A final aspect considered crucial after decades of armed struggle between Rangoon and a host of ethnic rebellions. Most of them have accepted the cease-fire, as the Karen, on Thursday. But other groups, such as the Kachin, is always refuse and signing of political agreements looks daunting.

"The change is irreversible," according to a famous blogger

Monday Juppe will visit Naypyidaw, the new capital of the "Union of Myanmar", built in the forest 300 kilometers north of Yangon and inaugurated in 2005. He will meet with the head of state, presidents of both chambers and the Minister of Foreign Affairs. Interviews that will allow perhaps a better understanding of the unpredictable course of the Burmese perestroika. Real transition, such as the post-Franco Spain or cosmetic aggiornamento a military power in search of survival? The debate is not settled. However, the desire to finally access to major international institutions (World Bank, IMF ...), the desire to escape the Chinese takeover in diversifying its partnerships are powerful openness factors, note observers.

"The change is irreversible, judge Nay Phone Latt, a famous blogger, 32, released Friday after four years in prison, but he'll have to be smart and stay alert." The long road from Burma to democracy is just beginning.